Environmental
concerns, high oil prices, and limited resources are just some of the factors
that will help push biofuel consumption to 135 billion gallons by 2018,
according to a new report from Global Industry Analysts. The value of the
global biofuels market in 2011 was $83 billion. Global government support in
research and development (R&D), production, public policy, and the push to
use it in transportation industries is also providing some important underlying
support for biofuels growth. Asia is expected to show some real growth
potential, increasing by a compound annual growth rate of 28.8% during the
reporting period.
Next-generation
biofuels, including second and the third generation biofuels, which are
currently under development, are predicted to offer more benefits when compared
to first generation biofuels. These include cellulosic ethanol, BTL from solid
biowaste, and renewable diesel, to name a few. However, these will take a
decade before reaching the stage of commercialisation. With the process of
conversion of cellulose into sugars for fermentation being quite difficult,
research is underway for developing microbes, enzymes, and fungi that could
breakdown different types of cellulose into sugars.
One
must remember though that all this presupposes a stable climate and good crop.
The corn debacle this time in the US is expected to push food prices up and
will also affect any objective to derive biofuel. These are where uncertainties
in the system will decide the growth, rather than technology alone!
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