Sunday, May 9, 2010

Do not ignore what science says

Do we believe in science anymore? There seems to be a general air of disbelief in what the scientists say, all thanks to one goof-up, or call it an oversight.

But 255 members of the National Academy of Sciences, including 11 Nobel laureates, have just published a stunning “Lead Letter” in the journal Science (May 2010). The letter, titled, “Climate Change and the Integrity of Science,” starts off: “We are deeply disturbed by the recent escalation of political assaults on scientists in general and on climate scientists in particular…

“All citizens should understand some basic scientific facts. There is always some uncertainty associated with scientific conclusions; science never absolutely proves anything. When someone says that society should wait until scientists are absolutely certain before taking any action, it is the same as saying society should never take action. For a problem as potentially catastrophic as climate change, taking no action poses a dangerous risk for our planet…

“Scientists build reputations and gain recognition not only for supporting conventional wisdom, but even more so for demonstrating that the scientific consensus is wrong and that there is a better explanation. That’s what Galileo, Pasteur, Darwin, and Einstein did. For instance, there is compelling scientific evidence that our planet is about 4.5bn years old (the theory of the origin of Earth), that our universe was born from a single event about 14bn years ago (the Big Bang theory), and that today’s organisms evolved from ones living in the past (the theory of evolution). Even as these are overwhelmingly accepted by the scientific community, fame still awaits anyone who could show these theories to be wrong.

Climate change now falls into this category: there is compelling, comprehensive, and consistent objective evidence that humans are changing the climate in ways that threaten our societies and the ecosystems on which we depend.

Many recent assaults on climate science and, more disturbingly, on climate scientists by climate change deniers, are typically driven by special interests or dogma, not by an honest effort to provide an alternative theory that credibly satisfies the evidence. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and other scientific assessments of climate change, which involve thousands of scientists producing massive and comprehensive reports, have, quite expectedly and normally, made some mistakes. When errors are pointed out, they are corrected.”

They go on to identify fundamental conclusions about climate change – warming from increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases; warming largely anthropogenic in nature; the consequences such as sea level rise, alterations of hydrological cycle which in turn will affect food and water supplies, etc.

“We urge our policymakers and the public to move forward immediately to address the causes of climate change, including the unrestrained burning of fossil fuels.

“Society has two choices: we can ignore the science and hide our heads in the sand and hope we are lucky, or we can act in the public interest to reduce the threat of global climate change quickly and substantively.”

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