Thursday, November 11, 2010

Simply unwilling!

The International Energy Agency's annual World Energy Outlook, released yesterday promises :) that oil, coal, and natural gas will continue to dominate world energy consumption, whether we conduct business as usual, adopt greener policies, or make heroic efforts to keep carbon concentrations in the atmosphere below 450 ppm so as to prevent temperatures from rising more than 2 more degrees celsius in this century.

The agency still expects world energy consumption to grow sharply, with fast-developing countries accounting for the lion's share of additional energy demand. Among fossil fuels, reliance on natural gas will grow the most strongly, an estimated 44 percent by 2035--more than a third of that increase being "unconventional" (shale) gas. Though consumption of coal and oil decreases in the advanced industrial countries according to the IEA's intermediate "new policies" scenario--the one it seems to consider most probable--demand for oil and coal in China, India and other developing countries increases by a significantly greater amount.

It once again reiterates the efforts required to restrict warming by 2 deg this century - between now and 2035, China would have to account of 32 percent of CO2 abatement and the United States 18 percent.

Things are not really changing are they?! Reminds one of what Darwin said: it is not the intelligence or strong species that will survive, but the one most adaptable. Well, we humans are resisting change. Make your own inferences!

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